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Once a number of permission spells are goneeither wasted on frivolous spells or milled with a couple lucky activations of Ashiok, Nightmare Weaverit is possible for inevitability to shift from the UB player to the Sultai player

Its not very scientific, but its the standard I set for my work, so I just keep drawing and drawing until I know for sure that it has been met

Ryan: I love this little guy

Other indicators (but not guarantees) include: 2

Make sure you can the Guard the same turn you enchant it with the Presence of Gond, since any removal of your Midnight Guard or the aura is enough to disrupt this

A counter on every one of your creatures that convokes the Elephant can add up to five extra power and toughness on your side of the board, and don't forget that the Loxodon is a big threat in itself